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As part of our Best Places to Live or Work in the United States If You Need to Know What the Weather Will Be Like Tomorrow 2025 report, we calculated the overall average variance for each of the 793 locations analyzed to see which areas were easier and harder to forecast weather. Overall average variance...

More than 240 million people across more than 40 states were in the path of a potentially historic winter storm that brought dangerous snow, ice, and bitterly cold conditions stretching over 2,300 miles across the United States from January 23-26, 2026. Ahead of one of the most expansive winter storms in recent history, major weather...

Florida has officially been dethroned as the lightning capital of the United States. AEM, with the help of its 1,800 sensor lightning detection network, announced that Oklahoma had the highest concentration of lightning in 2025. Oklahoma experienced approximately 73 lightning flashes per square mile last year, signaling a broader surge in lightning activity across the...

On December 17, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) launched a groundbreaking new suite of operational, artificial intelligence (AI)-driven global weather prediction models. This effort marks a significant advancement in forecast speed, efficiency, and accuracy, while using a fraction of the computational power. The new suite of models includes three applications: Artificial Intelligence Global...

Blizzard Warnings and Winter Storm Warnings were hoisted for portions of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan ahead of a rapidly strengthening winter storm that impacted the region on December 28-29, 2025. The potential for some of the biggest snow impacts of the season led major weather forecast providers to publish snowfall forecast maps calling for upwards...

In our recently released report, Best Places to Live or Work in Europe if You Need to Know What the Weather Will Be Like Tomorrow 2025, we analyzed 593 locations across Europe to identify the countries with the highest and lowest overall average accuracy. The overall average accuracy averages forecast and persistence accuracy for high...

ForecastWatch has been the world’s premier weather forecast monitoring and assessment company since 2003. Since then, we’ve collected over 2.5 billion weather forecasts from dozens of providers to evaluate and compare accuracy. We are beginning to expand our services and in-depth analyses beyond the 1-14 day weather forecast to now include seasonal outlooks. For fall...

On Thursday, November 27, 2025, we collected forecast snowfall graphics from three of the major weather forecast providers in the United States: The Weather Channel, AccuWeather, and NOAA’s National Weather Service. Each of the forecasts were produced for the general timeframe of Friday through Sunday, November 28-November 30, 2025. With forecasts produced roughly 24-30 hours...

Back in April, we shared 2025 Atlantic hurricane season predictions from several weather forecast providers. Although hurricane season technically does not end until November 30, there is currently not any tropical cyclone activity expected before then. The table below shows the average number of named storms and hurricanes during hurricane season, predictions from several experts,...

The World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction recently released their Global Status of Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems: 2025 report. The report builds on status reports from previous years by talking about the current status of multi-hazard early warning systems (MHEWS) and the Early Warnings for All (EW4All) initiative that...