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In November 2022, ForecastWatch took a look at linear trends in summer temperatures in the United States. Now we’ll take a look at linear trends in winter temperatures across the United States after a rather warm winter in the eastern United States, particularly in the Southeast. We looked at the same 18 cities we analyzed...

Forecasting individual thunderstorm formation is a unique challenge in the meteorological world. Thunderstorms often form seemingly randomly, developing in very hard to predict places, morphing into different forms, and merging or dividing. This is especially true with air mass thunderstorms in hot and humid air masses. Meteorologists can say there’s a given chance of thunderstorms,...

Weather forecasting is a constantly evolving profession. Historically it has purely been about making a best guess about what will happen with the weather. The primary focus has usually been on just trying to minimize errors in this guessing process. Over time, rapid technological advancements, which have also helped lead to a large increase in...

Here at ForecastWatch, we analyze forecasts for temperatures, among other elements, for accuracy. All these factors (wind, precipitation, humidity, cloud cover, etc.) play a role in how temperatures feel to people. When a weather forecast is generated, the “temperature” indicated is how fast molecules are moving in the air around you. But there is often...

A recent analysis by ForecastWatch found that the extreme heat wave in the Pacific Northwest and southwest Canada was forecast by computer models further in advance than nearly every human developed forecast. Recent technological advances are making it possible to forecast the potential for extreme weather events such as this up to 2-4 weeks in...

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