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“There are many, many ways to measure forecasting accuracy”, says Eric Floehr, founder of ForecastWatch.

All weather apps are not equal. In the case of a leading provider of weather forecasts and warnings globally, leveraging “consensus forecasting,” has proven beneficial, whereby humans and computer models make accurate predictions, and then human meteorologists interpret and communicate the impact. Indeed, a recent report conducted by independent industry tracker ForecastWatch, analyzing the accuracy...

Smartphone access to instant weather info is part of “meeting the appetite that smartphones naturally create for immediate information,” Eric Floehr of ForecastWatch told The Outline. “Forecasts used to be a couple days ahead. Now, you’re planning your outing for the weekend on Monday. And you’re [also] just looking an hour out, a minute out....

Eric Floehr of Forecast Watch noted that weather apps are simply meeting the appetite that smartphones naturally create for immediate information. In the case of weather apps, this may not be a good thing for users. “Forecasts used to be a couple days ahead,” Floehr said. “Now, you’re planning your outing for the weekend on...

“The data overwhelmingly confirm what experts already know: weather forecasts are highly accurate, and are improving dramatically,” ForecastWatch noted in a 2017 report. The primary driver behind the improvements can be boiled down to a single word: technology. “Not only does technology make forecasts more accessible, it also makes forecasts more powerful and precise,” the...

Like my last article where I used independent forecast accuracy assessment from ForecastWatch to demonstrate that location-specific temperature forecasts are skillful out to around 10 days into the future, this month we use their service to demonstrate the accuracy of rainfall predictions. The data discussed here is based on an average of many different weather...

When Eric Floehr was a child growing up in Ohio, he had three interests: space, dinosaurs, and the weather. One day, his dad brought home a computer to make video games. Eric and his dad worked together copying code from magazines, thus beginning a lifelong interest in programming. Read More…

Our forecasting prowess—at least when it comes to predicting how hot the coming days will be—has been making impressive strides. High-temperature predictions have improved significantly over the past 12 years, according to a new report from ForecastWatch, a Columbus, Ohio-based company that assesses the accuracy of weather forecasts. In fact, our ability to pin down...