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With a positive PDO, sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are typically warmer than normal near the west coast of North America with cooler than normal SSTs present in the central North Pacific Ocean. In a negative PDO, this setup is opposite, with cooler than normal SSTs near North America’s west coast and warmer than normal SSTs...

As humans, we have learned that there are limitations in what we can predict the atmosphere will do. It’s a chaotic system with many tiny details that influence how the atmosphere evolves. Thus, humans developed computer forecast models – complex computer programs that run on the world’s fastest supercomputers and solve the intricate fundamental equations...

Event Summary: The late June heatwave that gripped the Pacific Northwest and southwestern Canada for several days didn’t just break numerous all-time records; it shattered them.  Sadly, over 1,400 deaths were attributed to this heatwave, the result of unprecedented high temperatures in an area unaccustomed and ill-equipped to handle the heat of this magnitude. While...

“That is when we reach the limits of understanding the phenomena, especially in extreme weather such as tornadoes, heatwaves, floods and snowfall,” says Floehr. If machines in such chaotic systems recognize patterns that humans do not understand, it might even save lives, says Floehr: “Conventional models tend to smooth out extremes”. Read more…  

In today’s ultra-sophisticated, data-rich environment, where forecasts are generated at the push of a button, it can be hard to imagine that weather prognostication was once a new and rudimentary science. Yet, it wasn’t that long ago when forecasting was in its infancy. An article in The New Yorker detailed the fascinating evolution of forecasts...

We are living in the age of influence. Look no further than the number of Kim Kardashian followers on Instagram or the number of views the latest viral video has received. The power of influence is wielded by savvy marketers to strengthen a brand and to generate presumed expertise. However, it doesn’t work that way...

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